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Tag Archives: Renewable energy

To listen to some of their ads you wouldn’t know that the promises lobbyists for oil, coal and natural gas are making about being energy independent are based on wishful thinking , deluding the American public that stalls our need to convert to clean renewable energy now.

Does this lovely lady look familiar?  She should.  You may have seen her warm and smiling countenance on a previous post of mine here.    It is more likely however that you have seen her more recently as the face of the pro-fossil fuel website, EnergyTomorrow.org, on TV ads sponsored by their lobbyist, the American Petroleum Institute(API).  These ads promote misleading information giving the public a half-baked view about the abundant energy below our surfaces to make America energy independent again.  Something we haven’t been since the 1950’s

Her name is Brooke Alexander, a former soap opera star, beauty queen and a former FOX correspondent.  Her new gig encourages viewers to “learn more” about how “we can secure our energy future”   Supposedly we have enough untapped oil & gas resources “to power 60 million cars and heat 160 million households for 60 years” Ms Alexander assures us in her ad here.

But learning more at the EnergyTomorrow website is like getting the news from FOX.  It’s all heavily slanted with circumspective data and substantial omissions.  And it doesn’t hurt when a smart, pretty woman is making the pitch for the likes of Exxon-Mobil, Conoco and Chevron.

Technically Ms. Alexander’s comments are correct but here’s what’s missing in her message:

In the oil & gas industry, resource means the amount of gas or oil that remains underground, and reserve means what could be produced from the resource.

Only a portion of the resources could be recovered technically.

Only a portion of the technically recoverable resources could be produced economically.

Only a portion of the economically producible resources could be produced into supply. That is called reserve.    SOURCE 

Much of the oil resources in North America touted in these ads are expected to come from the tar sand pits out of Canada.  The oil from these tar sands takes enormous amounts of energy to convert into liquid gas adding that much more CO2 into the atmosphere, warming the planet even further.  The ads also conceal the fact that any oil or gas we bring up from below the surface is not ours entirely.  All oil and gas are part of a global market.  Nor will its close proximity to us, like in Canada, mean cheaper gas.  The price of oil is set on world markets.

Within the United States, foreign companies are acquiring stakes in oil resources that can now be extracted with fracking, but regardless of where the oil is produced and who produces it, the price of oil is set on the global market. Such globalization means that widespread drilling and fracking for oil in the United States will do nothing for American consumers who are paying the high price of oil.    SOURCE 

So what “portion” of that oil and gas is actually capable of being converted into real sources of energy for consumers?   Well, according to Bill Powers, author of the upcoming book,  “Cold, Hungry and in the Dark: Exploding the Natural Gas Supply Myth”, there may be only 5-7 years of shale gas resources after the realities of extraction and production confront the industry.

My thesis is that the importance of shale gas has been grossly overstated; the U.S. has nowhere close to a 100-year supply. This myth has been perpetuated by self-interested industry, media and politicians. Their mantra is that exploiting shale gas resources will promote untold economic growth, new jobs and lead us toward energy independence.

In the book, I take a very hard look at the facts. And I conclude that the U.S. has between a five- to seven-year supply of shale gas, and not 100 years. That is far lower than the rosy estimates put out by the U.S. Energy Information Administration and others. In the real world, many companies are taking write-downs of their reserves.   SOURCE    

Powers is the editor of Powers Energy Investor and according to his website  has “devoted the last 15 years to studying and analyzing various aspects of the energy sector”.

Another expert in the field is Arthur Berman.  Berman is a petroleum geologist, Associate Editor of the American Association of Petroleum Geolgists Bulletin and Director of the Association for the Study of Peak Oil. He maintains the blog Petroleum Truth Report.   Berman tells us that the declining rates of shale gas validates Powers’ assessment about severely limited supplies.

“I’ve looked at this”, he tells James Staffiord with OilPrice.com.  “In the Eagleford shale, which is supposed to be the mother of all shale oil plays, the annual decline rate is higher than 42%”.  They’re going to have to drill hundreds, almost 1000 wells in the Eagleford shale, every year, to keep production flat. Just for one play, we’re talking about $10 or $12 billion a year just to replace supply.”    SOURCE

It appears then that if you take the industry’s perception of North American reserves and fill in the blanks they are leaving out with Berman and Power’s assessments, then the reality is not all that rosy about securing America’s energy future.  I heard essentially the same talking points at a recent Planning and Zoning Council meeting here in Denton.   Out of about 50 attendees to this meeting most were citizens and students who were there to oppose considerations by the city for drilling new wells within city limits, citing the unresolved hazards of leaks and water contamination from fracking fluids.  Two young and attractive ladies however were there to state the case for the gas well drillers.

These two women gave only their names and addresses, indicating that they were nothing more than mere residents who saw positive contributions for drilling more wells.  But clearly they were there to promote the industry’s talking points about “energy security and independence” and “job creation”.  One read directly from written notes in a monotone voice without looking up while the other ad-libbed essentially the same comments but with little conviction about what she was saying, unlike those who gave testimonials in opposition to inner city gas well drilling.

America will never be energy independent because no matter how much we produce we will still consume more at current rates than we can produce.  Friendly tar sands oil from Canada won’t change that picture either.

[There is] the distorted viewpoint that the U.S. will soon become energy independent and will no longer need to import foreign oil. The U.S. has used more oil than it produces since records were kept in 1920 but became a true net oil importing country after World War II.   SOURCE 

The Fossil Fuels Job Myth

The notion too that oil and gas production creates thousands of jobs is somewhat dubious.  For instance, one report shows that direct hiring specifically related to oil extraction and production is a far cry from the claims of 1 million jobs being touted by the industry.  The 1 million figure relies on the multiplier effect where the true figure of 36,000 oil related jobs created will be expected to impact other businesses in their community and this only occurs after about seven years according to one report.

While job estimates, using a so-called multiplier effect of spending, are common in economic impact calculations, the “direct hiring” by the oil industry is far more modest [than other industries].

The 36,000 jobs specifically created to drill for oil and natural gas, refine petroleum or coal products, or for pipeline operation or in gas stations, came in well below “direct hiring” in other industries, which don’t enjoy the same tax breaks the Obama administration has been fighting to end for Big Oil.

The construction industry is prime among them — adding 69,000 jobs in 2011.

Roll into this the fact that these jobs also will continue to contribute to air and water pollution along with increasing green house gases that threaten our ecosystem and the image of an earned income becomes diminished with increased health care costs.  This information also ignores that job creation in renewable energy fields will easily supplant and even surpass job creation in the fossil fuel industry, absorbing a lot of the fossil fuel industry workers into the more green technologies.

… a 2009 report published by the University of Massachusetts found that net job creation is substantially higher with clean energy investments than fossil fuels at different educational levels. The paper determined that, when compared to fossil fuel energy, clean energy investments create 2.6 times more college degree jobs; 3.0 times more ‘some-college’ jobs; and 3.6 times more ‘high school or less’ jobs. While average wages are higher in fossil fuel, there are more types of all jobs in cleaner energy.

The Massachusetts researchers also found that a shift from fossil fuels to clean energy investments will yield a net increase in U.S. employment of 1.7 million jobs—i.e. an increase in 2.5 million jobs through clean-energy investments and a corresponding decline of about 790,000 jobs in fossil fuels. This assumes that there is available unemployed labor (there would be no change in employment if people had to be moved from one job to another).   SOURCE   

These are jobs that reduce potential health and safety hazards for workers and the people in the communities they are positioned near.  Healthier workers and their families are more productive and able to keep more of their earned income for other things outside doctor and hospital bills, such as college tuition and retirement savings.  But such positive outcomes are not something shared with you in ads aimed at continuing more of the same practices of extracting finite resources that are destined to expire in a lot less time than we are being led to believe.

Just Another Case of Corporate Profits Over  Human and Social Needs

So why the apparent deception by the oil and gas industry?  If the writing is on the wall as Mr. Berman, Mr. Powers and others are strongly suggesting, why not take all of the huge profits that the oil industry has seen (natural gas entrepreneurs are barely breaking even) and start making smarter, long-term choices that will not only be profitable for them but truly make us energy secure and independent?  Rather than invest vast sums in an infrastructure to accommodate the limited resources of fracture-extracted carbon products, especially natural gas, why not reinvest and re-tool for the inevitable conversion from fossil fuels to clean, renewable energy sources?   There clearly is a future for those who become engaged at these early stages.

It appears the answer lies within the concepts of short-sightedness and simple greed.  The current leadership within the oil industry is tied to the past and like anything else, real change is hard to turn towards when your bread has been so amply buttered for several decades now by bleeding every conceivable drop of carbon-based material from the earth.   The record profits that the oil giants have been experiencing of late will not be apparent early on with clean, renewable energy sources as the conversion process begins to reconfigure their industry, even with the aid of government loans and start-up financing that will be at their disposal.  This is a turn off for people who have become accustomed to a steady flow of great wealth.

The corporate mind is too locked-in to profits rather than making contributions to a future that essentially has them leaving their comfort zone and consists of unfamiliar risks.  A global market makes for a bigger playground to continue their old practices and as along as they can still influence the governments of various nations, including our own, there’s no reason or incentive to consider human and social needs over stock holder and investor expectations.

The new entrepreneurs whose efforts will usher us into the 21st century with green, clean innovations to fuel our autos and heat our homes are in place and waiting to be unleashed.   But as long as the aging fraternity of oil, gas and coal still hold most of the cards with their influence in Washington and state legislatures, progress will be sluggish and consumers will have to tolerate the consequences of this greed and short-sightedness; the biggest consequence being ever more numerous and larger natural disasters from man-made climate change.

Resources:

Shale Gas Bubble About to Burst: Art Berman, Bill Powers (DeSmogblog.com)

Why Fracking for Oil and natural Gas is a False Solution 


There’s some tough choices we face as a nation as we struggle to create job growth and find sustainable energy sources to keep our economy moving.  For some of us the choice is a no-brainer.

We are at a point where our traditional sources of energy – coal and oil – are not only shrinking as finite sources will, but in our efforts to meet growing demand it takes greater efforts to remove them from their buried locations in the earth and below the seas, effecting rising costs while their toxic agents pollute our air and water.  They also contribute to the green house effect that is global warming.  We clearly need to find a substitute for these sources if we are to advance our civilization and prevent the disastrous consequences of increased CO2 in our atmosphere.

 

Worldwide Renewable energy, existing capacitie...

Image via Wikipedia

On the other hand the renewable sources that can meet this challenge have yet to be developed to a level that can handle the current payloads and steady supplies that coal and oil give us.  The infrastructure for 21st century energy sources of wind, solar, geo-thermal, wave, hydro-power and bio-mass are only now being developed but confront obstacles posed by the fossil fuel industry and to a small degree, some  environmentalist.

 

Current figures show that these renewable sources of energy provide only about 13% to the nation’s energy grid.  Logistics of delivery capabilities and storage are still not at a level that can supply large amounts during peak demand periods of very hot and very cold weather.  But these problems and conditions are surmountable once we get the nation and our political leaders behind this effort.

The other issue that confronts us as we work towards converting dirty, limited sources of energy to cleaner, renewable ones is how this conversion process will impact consumers and jobs.  An economic transition this massive in scope cannot happen over-night and will to some degree disrupt markets that impact jobs and prices.  The question that isn’t being presented cogently to the public is to what degree this conversion will negatively affect us and for how long.  Let’s see if we can put a little light on this in as brief a statement as possible.

Rates of oil production around the globe have already been cut simply because of growing global demands.   Some of the world’s “best paid, most widely respected geologists, physicists, bankers, and investors in the world” have already concluded that “peak oil” has been reached and we will start seeing further rates of production dropping in short order.  Increased shortfalls not only from limited supplies but from “above-ground factors” like wars, terrorism and massive climate change conditions of drought and floods will further effect production and could conceivably cut the total supply by 50% within the next few years, according to Jeff Vail, a Colorado business litigation attorney who writes frequently on systems theory, complexity, and geopolitics, and is actively involved with The Institute for the Study of Energy and Our Future.

Coal, the more abundant base supply of energy in the U.S. is also scheduled to peak soon.  Data supplied by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) and the Energy Information Administration (EIA) show the U.S. coal reserves could peak as early as 2032 and by the end of this century our coal-producing capacity will be nil in terms of need.  Similar outcomes are in store for our natural gas supplies.  This means we have at best a generation to be on-line to supply our children and grand-children with ready sources of energy if they are to live in a world that comes anywhere close to our heydays of the last century.

But in so doing what will happen to the jobs in the coal, oil and natural gas industries.  Well despite the bogus shrill by industry friendly politicians, these jobs will disappear anyway by default because their product is disappearing.  To create an overly scary scenario that job losses will occur because the EPA or some other federal agency is over-regulating the fossil fuel industry is a red herring that is promoted by industry executives trying to hold on to one of the most profitable businesses in history.

They know that return of investment (ROI) will increase as supplies dwindle and they are not ready to forgo this increase in their wealth to simply prepare for our future needs.  Thus they have paid millions to corporate-friendly scientist and politicians to spread an alarming message of increased fuel prices and job losses resulting from anything that blocks their path to achieve financial excesses.  Exxon/Mobil, Koch Industries and their political lobby front, the American Petroleum Institute (API) have initiated well-orchestrated campaigns to undermine the science that not only challenges their fear-mongering about jobs and price increases but also to subvert the science that speaks to climate change effected by man-made conditions attributable to fossil fuel use.

Today, the Republican controlled House Energy and Commerce Committee headed by Fred Upton will challenge the EPA’s authority to regulate greenhouse gases via the Clean Air Act, with many already swearing to neuter the agency to prevent what they feel will “cost jobs and raise prices on consumer goods”.  No doubt the industry will have to pass on expenses to consumers to improve their facilities that currently contaminate our air and drinking water as well as add to anthropogenic global warming.  To offset these price increases some industries will eliminate jobs, not a popular action in lieu of our current unemployment crisis.

But such needed changes are essential to the health and economic well-being of our future and our children’s future.  The sacrifices that have to be made now will be paid back in spades down the short road of recovery.  As  senior fellow of the World Resources Institute Ruth Greenspan Bell points out here:

“When EPA promulgates regulations, industry often expresses concern that the regulations will cause extreme economic hardship. Now this argument is being made regarding EPA regulation of carbon pollution using existing legal authorities like the Clean Air Act.

In fact, there is extensive literature showing that the costs of environmental regulations are more than offset by a broad range of economic, public health and jobs-related benefits. Additionally, initial cost estimates are consistently found to be exaggerated. Economists and researchers who have compared actual costs with initial projections report that regulations generally end up costing far less than the dire predictions from industry and even, as an RFF study shows below cost projections by the Environmental Protection Agency.


As I mentioned earlier, the renewable sources that can meet our future energy needs have yet to be developed but this is in part due to the obstructionist efforts of oil and coal friendly legislators who constantly block needed funding and tax incentives to promote green technology.  The GOP Chairman of the House Appropriations Committee, Hal Rogers, recently announced a partial list of spending cuts they will be presenting for consideration.

In it is a request to cut $899 million from the office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy whose total 2009 budget was only about $1.2 billion.  The mission of this agency is to “develop and deploy renewable energy sources and conversion technologies, as well as identify efficiency best practices, regulations and technologies that collectively strengthens our economy, protects the environment and increases national security.”

With an eye to the past rather than the future, the U.S. is lagging behind China and the EU to find ways to overcome our dependency on fossil fuels and stave off the dire consequences that our current energy policy is taking us.  The last thing we need are cuts in areas that promote development of clean, renewable energy if we are to remain competitive in world markets.

Despite the efforts of pro-oil and coal forces, the public is clearly ready to fully restore America’s economic strength by making long-term investments that will lead to new jobs and new industries that renewable sources will provide.  We can only hope that common sense and foresight will ultimately affect our representatives in the U.S. Congress

RESOURCES:

Peak Oil

Peak in U.S. coal production

national atlas.gov


Having noticed several months ago that my hometown of Denton, north of Dallas-Ft.Worth has the distinction “of being the city with the most wind power per capita in the country” made this energy and climate hawk a bit proud, in a state where my more Progressive views are often over shadowed by red-state rhetoric.  However, not even the conservative population that predominates here can argue against the fact that their home district has overall lower electric rates than some of their big city neighbors; thanks in large part to a “green” approach by their utility supplier, Denton Municipal Electric (DME), to find and utilize renewable sources of energy and programs that reduce consumption.

It’s hard to argue with Denton’s efforts to contain and even reduce electrical rates for homeowners and businesses.  Currently they are in a fight to keep their costs down in one area where the energy source is not renewable, clean energy.  Approximately 20% of DMEs energy comes from the Gibbons Creek coal plant in Carlos, Texas located between College Station and Huntsville.  The coal is being transported 1400 miles from Wyoming and the railroad transporter based out of Ft. Worth, BNSF Railway, wants to increase their rates that would add approximately $4 extra dollars a month to each customer’s bill.

In a day and age where climate deniers and opponents of renewable energy tout cheap coal prices, this indirect increase as a result of transportation costs highlights the problem of any continued use of this dirtier source of energy.  Not only does the Gibbons Creek plant add an additional 2231 tons of nitrous oxide into our air but the energy expended bringing the coal in from Wyoming adds to this pollutant that scientist are saying not only has an impact on the public’s general health but impacts climate changes resulting from a damaged ozone layer in our stratosphere.

As I noted in a piece back in January entitled “Who Needs an Ozone Layer?”, Ozone (O3) is a molecule made up of 3 atoms. Unlike it’s cousin O2 that is essential for life on the planet Ozone is much less stable and can pose a threat to inhabitants at ground level. However, when found in the upper atmosphere it benefits humans and all animal and plant species by serving as a barrier to protect us against excessive solar UV rays. It is mostly the results of the sun’s UV rays combining with O2 in our stratosphere but when found closer to earth it develops when sun light reacts with air containing hydrocarbons and nitrogen oxides. Though always present even before the Industrial revolution it now exists in higher concentrations than historical records reveal.

Ozone only makes up 0.00006% of the earth’s atmosphere but it’s utility to prevent catastrophic conditions on earth make it a vital natural barrier to preserve our ecosystem and by default, our very way of life. The fear three decades ago was that the man-made green house gases (GHGs) of chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) from aerosol cans and freon then being used for cooling units in our homes, cars and refrigerators were literally burrowing a hole in the Ozone layer, allowing excessive UV rays to reach earth’s surface and amplifying global warming conditions around the planet. This amplified heat in turn breaks down Ozone in the atmosphere, further reducing it’s solar reflective abilities needed to sustain life here.

Thus the need to reduce toxic pollutants that contaminate our air and water and threaten human and animal life is a target that the City of Denton has taken aim at.  Their use of wind energy seeks to supply up to 40% of the electrical power to the community by purchasing the renewable source from the “Florida-based NextEra Energy Resources LLC, which owns and operates more than 8,000 energy turbines in 16 states and Canada, including the Wolf Ridge wind farm near Muenster” according to DME spokeswoman Lisa Lemmons.

Ms. Lemmons also described other benefits to their programs in an article published recently in the local Denton Record-Chronicle.  “The city … has a power-purchase agreement with DTE Energy to take 1.6 megawatts from its landfill-gas-to-energy project at the Denton landfill.  The project has the capacity to triple its energy production as the quality and capacity of methane gas increases over time, she said.

DME’s GreenSense energy efficiency program includes rebates of up to $15,000 for people who install solar panels on their homes or businesses.”  Add this to a current 30% IRS energy tax credit for solar investments and not only are overall expenses cut by 2/3’s but the out of pocket pay back period for customers is significantly reduced from the current average of 10 years.

These solar panels not only save consumers money on their electric bill but they also put energy back into the grid helping keep general costs lower for everybody.  What currently is installed in Denton has “added about 57 kilowatts of solar energy to DME’s electric system”, according to Ms.Lemmon.

With a Congress unwilling to deal with an effective energy policy that seeks out cheaper, renewal energy sources over oil, coal and natural gas it falls on the states and local communities to address their needs for reliable sources of energy that can carry them well into the 21st century.  Denton stands as a model on how to achieve this for any and all who are serious about keeping energy costs down instead of waiting for the federal government to act.

Related Article:

CO2: Friend and Foe



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